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The second round of general elections in France: uncertainty and difficulties for a Macron losing support

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Cabinet members are risking their positions if they don’t renew their seats

The alliance led by Mélenchon puts pressure on the president and his allies after an initial vote with very little turnout

MADRID, June 19 (EUROPA PRESS) –

France has a new appointment in the polls this Sunday to end the general elections in which President Emmanuel Macron and his coalition face uncertainty and the difficulties of a possible loss of support, a problem that puts their absolute majority in jeopardy national assembly.

After a first round in which the left, united under the alliance New People’s Ecological and Social Union (Nupes), achieved good results, the presidential faction seems to be in a bind, without a clear indication of its ability to do what is necessary pool support to retain his power and keep the cabinet intact.

Macron has already warned his ministers that if they don’t renew their seats, they will leave the government. This jeopardizes the fifteen senior officials running for a seat who did not win it on the first ballot.

Among the characters playing the most this Sunday are new Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne, Minister for Solidarity, Autonomy and People with Disabilities Damien Abad, who faces multiple allegations of sexual abuse, Minister for Public Administration Stanislas Guerini, and that of Ecological Transition, Amélie Montchalin, who did not get good results in the first round.

The left bloc, which continues to consolidate despite apparently confusing results, has fallen just a few tenths behind Macron’s juntos coalition, even as the country’s three main forces celebrated their own victory.

Mélenchon and his allies have also accused the interior ministry of “manipulating” the findings, considering there are at least three cases sparking controversy, after the ministry had some politicians insisting they will go along with it , not counted as Nupes candidates Parliamentary bloc in case of victory. Among them are mainly the candidates from the overseas territories and Corsica.

Still, Mélenchon’s coalition has garnered 25.66 percent of support and is hot on the heels of the presidential group, which won 25.75 percent of the vote, according to official data, suggesting a second very tight turnaround and calling into question Macron’s continuity majority in parliament.

It is followed by the far-right national group, which received 18.68 percent of the vote and will be eliminated from the second ballot in most of the constituencies that will be decided this Sunday.

THE POSSIBILITIES OF THE RIGHTS

Although the cordon sanitaire appears to be in place prior to the formation of Marine Le Pen, the main political forces are now exercising greater restraint in the face of the second round for fear of losing support in constituencies where the National Faction faces other candidates.

After a week in which many feel the government failed to give clear instructions on the vote and something was evenly distant, Borne has clarified that the executive branch’s position is clear: “There is no way, no single vote to give far right”.

He has described Nupes as an “alliance of circumstances” in which “there are Republican candidates”. “We support these, (…) but we do not support the France Rebellious candidates who do not share Republican values ​​that question the role of our police forces,” he said in comments collected by the newspaper Le Figaro.

With these words he refers to the controversial statements made by Mélenchon himself a few weeks ago to the police, whom he accused of “killing”. The opposition leader has also called a police union a “troubled group” to defend agents who shot dead a woman in her vehicle after she fled.


THE PROBLEM OF ABSTENTION

Turnout played a fundamental role in last weekend’s election, when there was a historic abstention rate of more than 52 percent, beating data collected in 2017, which is already very low.

This illustrates the “apathy” of the French electorate, who, according to polls, no longer trust the head of state to the same extent, but who do not hope for greater success from the left-wing alliance where the current government has failed.

According to surveys, young people are particularly affected, and according to the Interior Ministry, at least 70 percent of those under the age of 35 did not vote last weekend, which Macron’s coalition is used to seeing a predominantly older electorate.

However, on the part of the government, they lamented the low turnout in the first round and called for “reflection”, although the appointment, which will take place shortly after the presidential election, tends to benefit the party that emerged victorious in the previous election.

In this sense, Macron called for a “solid” majority for the parties supporting him, appealed to the “higher interest of the nation” and insisted that “nothing will be worse than adding French disorder to world disorder”.

THE FUTURE OF FRANCE

Although polls of voting intentions predict that Macron’s alliance will win the majority of the constituencies at stake, the president needs to win 289 MPs to retain an outright majority, which now seems unlikely given the left’s consolidation.

In the final stretches of the campaign, Mélenchon took the opportunity to equate Macron’s trip to Moldova and Romania with a metaphor for those who leave “when the ship sinks”. For him, the president’s stance shows that he thought the vote was a mere “administrative procedure” to continue governing.

However, the French head of state justified his decision, stressing that he was also the head of the army, so the visit was “necessary”, especially given the course of the war in Ukraine.

That hasn’t stopped Mélenchon from showing his confidence in the legislature’s findings, which is why he said he was sure he’d get a call from Macron once the results were known. “On Monday morning I will be at home waiting for the call from the President of the Republic asking me to form a government,” he said in an interview with BFMTV.

With these words, the leader of France Insumisa does not hide his desire to become prime minister, although this creates a coexistence between the president and the head of government of different political persuasions.

This cohabitation happened three more times in the Fifth French Republic, most recently between 1997 and 2002, and “a priori” the reduction of the President’s term of office from seven to five years makes a repetition more difficult.

In that case, Macron and his allies would be forced to join forces to implement their projects and regulations, either by forming a governing coalition or by collecting the votes required.


Source europapress.es

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