The seventh Covid wave continues to grow, which negatively affects all indicators. According to him latest report published by the Ministry of HealthAs of this Tuesday, the cumulative incidence among those over 60 (the only one measured since the end of March) reached 1,135 cases per 100,000 population in the last 14 days; The number of people hospitalized with Covid has increased by 13% since last Friday, from 10,249 hospitalizations to the current 11,586. And the number of intensive care patients is also increasing: by 11.3% to 502, but remains in the lowest range since the beginning of the pandemic (5.7% of occupied beds).
Although the data indicate that transmission continues to rise sharply, the increase in cumulative incidence this Tuesday (139 diagnoses per 100,000 population) was smaller than Friday (155). This growth is caused by two sublineages of the Omicron variant (BA.4 and BA.5) that have shown a greater transmission capacity than the previous ones and also an immune evasion in relation to vaccines and natural infections that seem to be less protective of each other face of reinfection.
However, data from both Spain and Portugal, another country with high vaccination rates already weathering the wave caused by these sublines, seems to indicate that they are not more aggressive. The number of hospital admissions and especially the number of people admitted to the intensive care unit is increasing much more slowly than before the vaccination. In the absence of more detailed studies limiting their protection, this evidence suggests that punctures are still very effective in preventing severe Covid disease.
Also in terms of the number of hospital admissions there is a problem with the count and not all that get included in the stats are from people who have been admitted due to Covid but many of them do with the disease but off other reasons . For example, if someone breaks their leg, is hospitalized and has the coronavirus, they can be counted. The Health Minister of the Autonomous Community of Madrid, Enrique Escudero, assured last week that in the region only 40% of the admissions are really due to Covid. This could be why the total number of hospitalizations for all reasons is lower than a week ago, even though the number of positive patients is increasing.
By community, La Rioja has surpassed Madrid as the worst affected in this wave with a cumulative incidence of 1,902. Both Madrid and Castile-La Mancha and Extremadura exceed 1,500. Andalusia reports by far the fewest diagnoses: 397 per 100,000 inhabitants, although like the others it follows a clear upward trend.
As for the death stats, the delay in notifications doesn’t allow us to analyze what’s happening at the moment. You have to look back at least two weeks. The number is fluctuating around fifty deaths per day and has not suffered major fluctuations since the end of the sixth wave. It must be verified over time that the seventh creates a rebound.